Gerasimov Doctrine in Full Swing against the US

The Gerasimov Doctrine is in use in the United States and will come to another crescendo in the near future as our 2018 elections come to bear. Learn how to identify some of the methods when they occur.  #education #cyber #training #intelligence #intel #analysis#collection #elections #analysts #doctrine #intelligencecollection#intelligenceanalysis #gerasimov #putin #russia #olgino

How to help identify propaganda coming from any source. Gerasimov Doctrine in action in the United States.

Where does the speaker or group get their funding? What is their background?

Who are their main supporters?

Does the content have a strong emotional aspect?

Do they provide or describe ominous, stirring, or patriotic images or music?

Do they associate a group, person, event, or idea with something hated or feared?

Do they use slogans of any type that have been heard before and repeated?

Do they use virtue words (e.g. peace, happiness, security, wise leadership, freedom, liberty)?

Is their reasoning poor?

·      Illogical or non-intuitive relationships between concepts

·      Sweeping conclusions from mere anecdotal evidence

·      Issues framed to favor one point of view while deflecting and pivoting

·      Irrelevant or questionable data

·      Vague, undefined terms and concepts

Do you see evidence of false or missing information (telling only half of the story)?

Is there oversimplification?

·      Simple answers to complex social and political questions

·      Blame assigned to an individual or group (scapegoating) without evidence

·      Misleading stereotypes or labels

·      Blanket statements

Is the aim of the article to persuade?

·      Cites or associates prominent figures to a position, idea, argument, or action

·      Repeats ideas until they are accepted as truth

·      Presents ideas as the view of the majority (so get on the bandwagon – wake up)

·      Implies that opposition (to the author’s premise) would be unpatriotic, undemocratic, or inhumane

Does it align information that is not objective and is used primarily to influence an audience and further an agenda? Are facts presented selectively to encourage a particular synthesis or perception or using loaded language to produce an emotional rather than a rational response to the information that is presented. Are the contents associated with material prepared by adversarial governments while ignoring the issues associated with those they support?

Influence operations are focused on affecting the feelings and behaviors of leaders, groups, or entire populations. Influence operations employ capabilities to affect behaviors, protect programs that support their intent, and project false information interspersed with some accurate data to achieve desired effects across the cognitive domain. Influence operations are the coordinated, integrated, and synchronized application of national diplomatic, informational, military, economic, and other capabilities in peacetime, crisis, conflict, and post-conflict to foster attitudes, behaviors, or decisions by US citizens driven by foreign entities bent on creating chaos.

Biases are systematic errors in judgment that human beings consistently make, and our adversaries continue to use against the US populace. Here are 10 that help explain why we will never stop falling for their propaganda and methods to ensure chaos in our society:

1.     Bias blind spot — the tendency not to compensate for one’s own cognitive biases. (This is why nobody thinks they’re biased)

2.     Third-person effect- Belief that mass communicated media messages have a greater effect on others than on themselves. (This is why propaganda is so effective. It does not affect me!)

3.     Authority bias — The tendency to attribute greater accuracy to the opinion of an authority figure (unrelated to its content) and be more influenced by that opinion. (This is why some of Trump’s supporters believe everything he says no matter what)

4.     Declinism – The belief that a society or institution is tending towards decline. Particularly, it is the predisposition to view the past favorably and future negatively. (This is why ‘Make America Great Again’ was such an effective message)

5.     Confirmation bias — the tendency to search for or interpret information in a way that confirms one’s preconceptions. (This is why people click on fake news they want to be true)

6.     Bandwagon effect — The tendency to believe things because many other people believe the same. (This is why people believe fake news shared by their friends)

7.     Availability cascade — A self-reinforcing process in which a collective belief gains more and more plausibility through its increasing repetition in public discourse. (This is why fake news become true the more it is shared)

8.     Continued influence effect — The tendency to believe previously learned misinformation even after it has been corrected. (This is why Hillary’s ‘formal accusation’ had such a big effect even after Comey dropped charges)

9.     Hostile media effect — the tendency to perceive news coverage as biased against your position on an issue. (This is why millions of voters don’t trust the mainstream media)

10. Backfire effect — The urge to do the opposite of what someone wants you to do out of a need to resist a perceived attempt to constrain your freedom of choice. (This is why the media ganging up on Trump completely backfired)

What to learn more?

www.planetreg.com/T71IntelTraining

www.cyberinteltrainingcenter.com

www.treadstone71.com

Deception, Distortion, Dishonesty: The Real Story Behind the Hype – RSA Conference 2018 – San Francisco

Dr. Khatuna Mshvidobadze

In the summer of 2008, Russia attacked Georgia in the first-ever combined kinetic and cyberwar. Sure, the 1990-1991 Gulf War was dubbed the first information war—the use 226571794ecbc84a4232f3e9a42a7041-480x270of information in war is not new. What was new in 2008 was that Russia employed its cyber arm as an independent operational capability alongside its land, sea and air forces. The targets were critical infrastructure. The strategic objectives were to sap Georgia’s will to resist and to provide cover for Russia’s information campaign to deceive the west into believing that somehow little Georgia was the aggressor.

Operational security was paramount—Moscow had to keep everyone confounded about who was behind the cyber attacks. Just like the kinetic invasion, the cyber attacks were long and well-planned, but Russia did a great job covering its tracks. When the shooting stopped, well-meaning researchers investigated what had happened. However, coming from a profession that focuses on computer screens and a culture unaccustomed to the 2018-04-11_9-18-09kind of deception that is part of everyday Russian life, they foundered.

The attacks led us to Russia. We noted uncanny timing. Western experts were indeed confounded when the trail led to kids and criminals. I have been following that trail ever since. Insight into Russia, all-source intelligence and a keen understanding of denial and deception were needed.

Today, saying that the Russian state employs a network of cybercriminals to do its online dirty work is commonplace. One might just as well pretend not to know the identity of those little green men who seized Crimea. But when I started saying it in 2010, you would not believe the resistance I encountered.

Soon after, I met Jeff Bardin, my professor at Utica College, who became mentor and friend. Jeff brings an extraordinary expertise in all-source intelligence and the ways of denial and deception. At this year’s RSA Conference, it is my privilege to combine with him in a talk entitled Deception, Distortion, Dishonesty: The Real Story Behind the Hype.

Jeff will lead off, analyzing the types of D&D, its various dimensions and some tactics that can be employed online and offline. The planners, he will say, must have clear reasons for utilizing D&D based on their goals. They must define the strategic, operational and tactical goals of deception and the criteria for success.

I will point out that Russians do not see cyber warfare as distinct but regard it as just one tool of information war. Look at 2008. The cyber attacks aimed at hampering the Georgian government’s ability to communicate while Moscow’s propaganda machine painted Russia as the aggrieved party. “Information space opens wide asymmetrical possibilities for reducing the fighting potential of an enemy,” writes Valery Vasilyevich Gerasimov, Chief of the Russian General Staff. It’s a remarkable statement, but nothing new—Russian thinking on information warfare has been consistent since the 1980s.

Now, the Kremlin commands a vast network of online intelligence agencies, scientific organizations, academic institutions, criminals, and trolls. We’ll discuss how Russia deals with enemies, foreign and domestic, cyber players and organization, the growing role of the military, tactics, techniques, procedures and tools, vectors, false flags, troll factories and more. Come join us on Wednesday at the RSA Conference.

KM

Treadstone 71 Selected to Deliver at the RSA Conference 2018 San Francisco

Foundations for a Strong Intelligence Program
April 18, 9AM-11AM RSA Conference
This Lab will explore key aspects of building a strong and long-lasting cyberthreat intelligence program. We’ll review methods of threat intelligence platform selection and bake-off techniques as well as cover stakeholder analysis and priority intelligence requirements. Additionally, we’ll practice collection planning and mission management as well as how to establish effective reporting and dissemination capabilities.

rsa2018
Cyber CounterIntelligence – Deception, Distortion, Dishonesty
April 18, 1:45PM-2:30PM RSA Conference
Deception, distortion, dishonesty are core to social media postings. Our adversaries use these methods concocting stories that create illusions that are meant to leave us divided. The talk will cover methods of countering their messaging while applying these tactics to protect your own organization and brand. Moving from intelligence to counterintelligence is the natural next step in our evolution.

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