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In essence, if it is proven that the weapon was actually used, then this should activate the set of actions announced by the States. Chemical, bacteriological, biological, nuclear weapons, as well as weapons of mass destruction of any other type are considered a “red line”.

The alleged attack comes just hours after a pro-Russian general appeared in the Donbas who promoted the idea of ​​using chemical weapons, telling state media that it would “flush the Ukrainian moles out of the underground.”


1) Only 1 source notified about its use, although when it comes to events that affect the masses, there should be at least 2 of them that are not related to each other.


2) The number of victims from chemical weapons is 3. And not even victims, but victims. Moreover, they are already in relative order. This means that either the weapon was not used, or during its development, someone cut the funds well. No civilians have been reported, no grave consequences for Azov have been reported.


3) If additional evidence is found, an independent team of medical experts should enter Mariupol, which will study the “background” and confirm the use of weapons.


4) If the Russian Federation will indirectly or directly block the work of a group of experts for several days (or months, as in Syria), then this should be regarded as direct evidence of the use of chemical weapons with an additional attempt to hide the evidence, artificially preventing an independent investigation.


5) In fact, in Mariupol, the military situation is difficult for Azov. Their forces are significantly limited, so Mariupol needed to draw attention to the problem by all means. That is, Azov needed to force Zelensky to take a tactical move to transfer part of the troops to Mariupol. For some reason, Kyiv does not want to do this.

Within 2-3 days, information on chemical weapons should either be confirmed or refuted, since there are still no cases of “point attack” from the air. This means that either “Azov” does not have information about other victims, or the weapon was clearly illiquid.

In the latter – it is readily believed, taking into account the theft of cat food, panties, washing machines …

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Treadstone 71

@Treadstone71LLC Cyber intelligence, counterintelligence, Influence Operations, Cyber Operations, OSINT, Clandestine Cyber HUMINT, cyber intel and OSINT training and analysis, cyber psyops, strategic intelligence, Open-Source Intelligence collection, analytic writing, structured analytic techniques, Target Adversary Research, cyber counterintelligence, strategic intelligence analysis, estimative intelligence, forecasting intelligence, warning intelligence, threat intelligence
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