The Cynic
Russia and Iran are building a UAV plant in Tatarstan, which could have a significant impact on the war in Ukraine – CNN
U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency analysts believe it will provide the Russians with a new supply of drones, an order of magnitude larger than what Russia has previously bought. The construction of the plant will most likely be completed by early 2024 .
Conscripts will be banned from leaving the Russian Federation from the date the summons is placed in the register.
The draft age will be increased in Russia to 30 years from January 1, 2024.
It seems that the Russian Federation is actively hinting that the war will continue in 2024 (as if this is news).
But the Russian Federation, rather, hints that it is ready to fight after 2024, allegedly going into “total martial law” with total mobilization.
This is direct blackmail: “we will eat dust, but we will continue to fight, so go to negotiations under our conditions.”
The actual leak of the “information party” is produced by the Polish edition:
Western partners of Ukraine, providing military support, are counting on decisive victories of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, their patience and stocks of equipment are not endless, which can lead to a decrease in the assistance provided, writes the Polish edition Rzeczpospolita. Journalists note that the Ukrainian troops, after suffering losses at the beginning of the offensive, concentrated on long-range artillery strikes, which allows them not to risk the lives of their soldiers. However, the conflict as a result turned out to be “at an impasse” and “the counteroffensive does not live up to the expectations of the military and political leaders of the West.” So far, both Democrats and Republicans in the United States agree on the need to support Ukraine, but slow progress on the battlefield may strengthen the positions of critics of assistance to Kyiv, who have so far been relegated to the background in American politics. Analysts say that if the counter-offensive fails, aborted efforts to resolve the conflict diplomatically could be resumed.
It is quite clear which game Russia is playing:
1. Willingness to fight to the last Russian.
2. Willingness to completely switch to the military economy, leaving all other areas to take their course.
3. Willingness to expand the conflict through proxy forces (PMCs).
4. Willingness (at the same time) to negotiate “according to the existing territorial realities.”
The fourth is clearly dissonant with the other three, so the first three are a trick (fake readiness) that should lead Western diplomats to the fourth as a “convenient point of balance and equilibrium” so as not to “aggravate” the traumatic situation.
