We See What Others Cannot
The Cynic According to sources (from what can be published): 1. The first phase of the counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is close to its end. Serious successes are characteristic of several sectors of the front: in some the first line of defense (the main one) has been broken through, in some –…
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The Cynic Russia and Iran are building a UAV plant in Tatarstan, which could have a significant impact on the war in Ukraine – CNN U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency analysts believe it will provide the Russians with a new supply of drones, an order of magnitude larger than what Russia has previously bought. The construction…
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The Cynic “Offensive on offensive”. What is the Russian Federation preparing at the front? Russia will likely attempt a series of limited offensives. The goal is to maximize the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, not taking into account the loss of personnel and equipment. Rationale: Russia has no real ability to carry out…
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The Cynic 1. The pace of advance corresponds to the resources available to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The advance will be non-linear, but the primary breakout should take place in August (second half). 2. It was a mistake to give Russia the opportunity to “conserve” for 9 months. The pause between the previous offensive…
Read More “Three waves of attack” »
A provocation at the ZNPP makes sense only before the NATO summit. Calculation according to the Patrushev doctrine “de-escalation through escalation”. And here the very word “provocation” is important. Not the ZNPP explosion. And not the spread of a nuclear cloud. And an imitation of them. But such a game at high stakes makes sense…
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“I won’t give mine” Putin seems to have decided to “throw” Prigozhin and is not going to make any obvious changes. So, the positive aspects of the “Prigozhin rebellion”:1. The system and the elites have been shattered: internal confidence in Putin has decreased both on the part of the military and on the part of…
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The Cynic A series of strikes is now underway, some of which are a smoke screen for actions being implemented now or in a tactical perspective. The absence of that very “beginning” is revealed by 2 factors:1. The main battle groups, trained in the West in accordance with NATO standards, did not enter the war.2….
Read More “Has the attack begun?
The Armed Forces of Ukraine have not yet launched a counteroffensive” »
The Cynic Of all the above, the most important thing is that the Kremlin “fed” its Fuhrer the idea that the counteroffensive was stopped by “defense lines.” It seems that Putin (and the Kremlin along with him) “exhaled”, deciding that “we have already won.” It is this report that has been in the Moscow Region…
Read More “Putin once again embarked on a jungle that is completely beyond his understanding.
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The Cynic A brief summary of the local offensive operations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (preservation of the “fog of war”) and the general situation: 1. Local offensive operations are gaining momentum: Ukraine is fortifying itself in strategic sectors of the front, simultaneously inflicting deep strikes on vulnerable points of the “five-step defense”. The…
Read More “Prigozhin, “victory over the counteroffensive” and lines of defense” »
A series of news followed, catastrophic for the Kremlin as part of its attempts to maintain influence in the eastern and European regions. 1) Mishustin’s trip failed completely. Beijing did not even maintain the basic limits of decency, but tritely mocked the Russian prime minister: almost everyone (from top government officials to business representatives) was…
Read More “Moscow combinator catastrophic for the Kremlin -Mishustin” »
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