The Cynic
A series of strikes is now underway, some of which are a smoke screen for actions being implemented now or in a tactical perspective.
The absence of that very “beginning” is revealed by 2 factors:
1. The main battle groups, trained in the West in accordance with NATO standards, did not enter the war.
2. The main part of the military equipment necessary for offensive operations is also still far from the front line.
Complementing the situation is an attempt by the RF Armed Forces to go on the offensive in areas where the Kremlin believes that the Armed Forces of Ukraine have deployed the main offensive reserves. In fact, the Russian Federation is counting on the tactics of “meat assault”: in order to bring down the offensive, it is necessary that the enemy army get bogged down in the enemy’s guts.
But there is a point: Ukraine has not concentrated a critical amount of personnel and equipment on any sector of the front, so the Kremlin’s mathematical model is doomed to failure.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces “threw the bait” into the muddy water, and the fish pecked: the shark, with its mouth open, began to pull the line in different directions, believing that it could break this “old man” Hemingway with perseverance and deceit, albeit at the cost of its own tail.
It will not come out exactly because the “old man” as such has not yet appeared, and therefore there is no one to exhaust in this context. And they will jam the Russian fish with dynamite, having previously ensured their safety.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine are “playing the offensive”, setting decoys and strikes as an “offensive environment”, but there are no large-scale strikes, because first it is necessary to break the defensive potential of the RF Armed Forces with “little bloodshed”, and only then it will be possible to “along the ruins of defense lines” launch what the Kremlin is most afraid of.
