TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE
Yesterday’s rebellion ended even worse than defeat, it was merged by its own leader, and so quickly that, in fact, did not cause any tangible problems to the Russian authorities. A military defeat by Prigozhin would have been accompanied by hostilities that would in one way or another have damaged the Russian army, its infrastructure and capabilities on the Ukrainian front, seriously destabilizing the situation inside the country.
However, no turmoil and anarchy followed by an avalanche-like collapse of the country did not occur, the leadership escaped with only a fright and an unscheduled visit to St. Petersburg. But let’s be honest, the events of yesterday from the very beginning seemed too unreal, too positive, to be true. However, it cannot be said that this speech did not give any results, material was obtained that we can use in our favor to determine the further strategy of the struggle.
1. The rebellion well demonstrated the collapse of the system of government in Russia and showed a grandiose failure on the ideological front. The authorities are not capable of a forceful response even to a handful of armed militants at full speed rushing to capture the capital, and the belief that Putin is considered by the people as the father of the nation does not stand up to criticism against the backdrop of Prigozhin’s joyful meeting in Rostov. It is almost certain that this putsch will be followed by another.
2. People go for power. We have to state the fact that the population of Russia is ready to support anyone, as long as he shows strength, and we need to take this into account when building our image, planning actions and assessing opportunities.
4. Increasing Putin’s distrust of his surroundings. The good news is that Putin’s already inadequate suspicion will be further heightened by yesterday’s attempted mutiny by someone he fully trusted.
5. Speech – there is a guide to the implementation of an armed rebellion. We study and remember the approach of PMC Wagner, which demonstrated its effectiveness during the rebellion, both in informational and military terms. This valuable knowledge will help us to build our own strategy of struggle at the right time.
6. There is no shortcut. You can not live in captivity of their delusions, wishful thinking. Russia does not expect an early collapse, but this does not mean that we should give up our business. Given the weaknesses of the regime and its generally stable state, we must prepare ourselves for decades of struggle. In this case, such failures as the failure of the Prigogine rebellion do not demotivate us, we will continue to do our job, no matter what.
7. It is useless to bet on the West in matters of fighting Putin. If Prigozhin reached Moscow in a day, how long would NATO troops take to do it? But such a question was not raised anywhere, representatives of Western countries expressed only concern about the destabilization of the situation inside Russia. This and many other facts indicate that overseas is not interested in eliminating Putin and his regime. Therefore, we can only rely on ourselves.
