Stay vigilant for Cyber Attacks to preceded kinetic.
The Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko signed a decree on February 9 enabling Belarusian state organs to call up military-aged Belarusian men for urgent military service in the Belarusian reserve from February to May 2022.
Russia has set up a massive field hospital at an Airfield south of Gomel,Belarus just 25 km to the Ukrainian Border.
- Sequence:
- Russia’s amphibious assault ships arriving Black Sea
- NOTAMS for wide areas of Black Sea / Sea of Azov February 13-19
- Allied Resolve 2022 ends Feb 20
- Winter Olympics end Feb 20
- No Russian delegation at Munich Security conference on Feb 18-20
- Feb 12 is the anniversary of the Minsk Agreements
- Negotiations between the defense departments of the Russian Federation and Britain in connection with the situation in Ukraine – no major breakthroughs.
- Feb 11 Russian Foreign minister Sergey Lavrov has postponed his trip to Israel which was expected to take place next Monday
- Multiple countries telling their citizens to leave Ukraine.
- Denis Pushilin, Head of DPR, to declare Ukraine a terrorist state at the global level.
- Moscow considers Kyiv’s request for clarification about its military movements unacceptable.
- Feb 12 Russian Diplomats have started leaving Kyiv, Ukraine in an unprecedented move.
NON-INCLUSIVELY
- The Dutch authorities urge citizens to leave Ukraine as soon as possible.
- The Japanese Foreign Ministry has raised the level of danger of staying in Ukraine to the maximum level, urging its citizens to leave immediately.
- South Korea has introduced the maximum level of danger for travel to Ukraine and banned its citizens from visiting this country.
- Israel and England start evacuating families of diplomats from its embassy in Kiev.
- The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Montenegro called on its citizens to leave Ukraine.
- Earlier, Joe Biden made a similar appeal to the Americans.
- Estimates are that in the next 12 hours, most European countries will issue an advisory for Ukraine.
- Berlin meeting failure – Ukraine said on Friday it would not yield to pressure from Moscow to negotiate with Russian-backed separatist leaders, after the latest four-nation talks ended with no breakthrough on ending eight years of fighting.
- Feb 11 – An emergency conference call is currently underway with Biden, Scholz, Macron, Johnson, Duda, Draghi, Stoltenberg, Trudeau, von der Leyen and Michel taking part.
US Statement:
The US expects the invasion to begin next week, six US and Western officials tell PBS’ Nick Schifrin, as Secretary of State Antony Blinken said last night.
US officials anticipate a horrific, bloody campaign that begins with two days or aerial bombardment and electronic warfare, followed by an invasion, with the possible goal of regime change.
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