Accept the beating we prepare for you or we will beat you harder and more frequently.
Today we have an announcement from the Russian delegation giving another ultimatum to NATO and the US on their dead-on-arrival proposals. Stating we have not intention of attacking Ukraine, Russia says guarantee safeguards or we will attack Ukraine. As Russia was the belligerent in Georgia, South Ossetia, Crimea, Donbas, Tajikistan, Chechnya, Dagestan, Ingushetia, Nagorno-Karabakh, Abkhazia, Armenian-Azerbaijan, Transnistria, places you have never heard of but where Putin exercises little restraint.
Russian delegation declares start of ‘countdown’ in wait for adoption of Russian proposals
“There arrives a moment of truth when the West either accepts our proposals or other ways will be found to safeguard Russia’s security,” Gavrilov said. “I am convinced that with goodwill and a willingness to compromise in any situation, it is possible to find a way out to mutually acceptable solutions. We are running out of time. The countdown begins.”
This is the standard Putin way of negotiation. Which in fact, is no negotiation at all over areas manufactured by Putin. Putin is know for the treasuring of grievances:
The treasuring of grievances—where the Soviet official covers
up his own aggressive behavior and lack of substantive
proposals by piling on grievances, real or imaginary, against the
negotiating adversary usually amid disconcerting ripostes and
accusations of bad faith.
An offensive negotiating strategy masking itself as a defensive one, the treasuring of grievances proved very effective when facing a negotiator operating under traditional Western negotiating instructions to reduce friction points, seek the middle ground, quickly reach a mutually beneficial agreement, and move on to the next agenda topic.
The power in the technique was the itemization of a huge backlog of issues that needed to be dealt with in addition to the item on the immediate agenda. It distracted or deflected attention from the complaints by the other side. It also created additional time pressures on the other side to get issues resolved, which typically was successful given the political time constraints facing Western negotiating partners. Mosely noted that this technique would often be followed by the “head-against-stone wall” technique—where the Soviet negotiator would build up a sufficiently impressive and protective record by erecting a massive wall of long-standing grievances. The Western negotiator, given the intractability of his opponent, would simply be left feeling like he or she was beating a head against a stone wall trying to make progress on the single issue on the agenda. Again, given the noted differences in U.S. and Soviet/Russian negotiating styles, this technique has proven remarkably effective in delaying discussions the Russians do not want to have, forcing the other side to feel the impact of time and thus moderate its positions, and magnify the perceived negotiating leverage of Russian-held issues. – Negotiating with Putin’s Russia – Lessons Learned from a Lost Decade of Bilateral Arms Control BY MICHAEL ALBERTSON
Putin was a loyal KGB agent long before he had any aspirations at leading a country. Skilled in the arts of lying and deception, he tries to make any adversary feel unprepared. He measures every adversary as was taught and as he learned in the field. He is a crafty adversary who follows a standard formula but will quickly adjust. This is likely handed down to his delegations. Promises made prior to a meeting are nothing more than tools to manipulate you in person. They should be thrown out and not even considered. Take what is said prior to a meeting with Putin’s Russia with a grain of salt since it is highly likely a ploy to drive a false narrative of intent.
An example of this was during a Latvia-Russia meeting. Putin set the meeting up as a friendly meet to improve relations and get to know each other. Instead, Putin brought a stake of documents with specific grievances to the table.
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