The Cynic returns after a “visit to the East.”
Briefly from the “general world plan” about what I could not write about “between meetings and flights”:
1) North Korea is a proxy of China. Russia tried to pull the DPRK “out of the Chinese bait.”
China has entered an economic tailspin. And now he himself is preparing to turn the world game around, which in Xi’s case is only possible through military escalation.
But not in Eastern Europe, but in the East.
We agreed with the DPRK on the supply of artillery shells. The caliber is suitable for Russian artillery. The shells are of poor quality, but there are quite a lot of them: after all, they were preparing to fight South Korea and Japan “in one salvo.”
Russia promises to help the DPRK in the “war with the United States”: mainly with “space technologies” and “long-range technologies.”
The PRC will regulate the volume of supplies from the DPRK: there will be no critical change in the situation from supplies, and the PRC is not directly interested in being designated as an accomplice – against the backdrop of a rupture in the economic model.
2) Armenia is moving out from under the “Russian military boot”, confidently declaring that Russian peacekeepers have not fulfilled a single function. As a result of such a correct statement, Armenia should (from the point of view of strategic security) enter the western zone of interests – through France, with which Pashinyan has established a contact line of cooperation.
The goal is twofold:
1. To pull Armenia out of the turbulent region and ensure military-strategic sovereignty, which will protect the state from “soft” expansion.
2. Providing security guarantees from “regional conflicts”: the model of “guarantees in return on territory” will allow drawing a line under territorial disputes, which will guarantee that the war will not happen again, since partners in the “new” side will provide a “shield” NATO.
Russia is now trying to spark a new armed conflict so that Armenia does not escape from Russian clutches, and Azerbaijan gains radical influence over parts of the territory. Thus, the Russian Federation will behind the scenes advocate for the territorial dismemberment of Armenia, since the “Azerbaijani regime” is closer to Putin than any sovereign-neutral one.
3) Kadyrov is in a “complicated” condition, so his inner circle is constantly searching for ways out of the possible “consequences of a serious illness.”
An important point here: after Prigozhin, Kadyrov remains the last element of the “alternative center of power”: the “Kadyrovites,” not subordinate to the interests of the center, at this stage are the only group of “power” not involved in the intra-Kremlin “elite balance machine.”
Therefore, the Kremlin is interested in Chechnya being transferred from a “special” position to a “totally subordinate” position. This can be realized precisely by “internal transit”, which should be carried out “before the elections”, so that Putin enters the new term with a completely centralized instrument of violence, which in the new formation will be “shared” only with Patrushev’s group.
4) The Russian “peace party”, scattered throughout Turkey, the UAE, etc., is in a depressed position: Abramovich took over all the functions of the main behind-the-scenes negotiator, skillfully crowding out any other manifestations of “warming”.
The Kremlin hopes for a Republican breakthrough in the United States and actively applauds the Republican attempt to dismiss Biden through impeachment in the Hunter Biden case.
Also, through conservative “think tanks,” the Russian Federation is launching a “military budget freeze” model as a form of political pressure from Republicans on Democrats.
5) China will fight with the West, violating the previous conditions of the game, because the already dying system was placed in front of the “Indian economic path”, which destroyed the monopoly of “One Belt, One Road”. Thus, the previous “convention of struggle” actually guarantees defeat for China, so China will provoke a reduction in rates through escalation with its proxy forces (including the DPRK, but not in the format that Russia wants).
Therefore, by pulling the stool out from under China’s feet, we brought the world closer to the “new world order” that will be established after the strategic military-political defeat of the PRC.
