The BRICS summit was supposed to be “fateful” (at least it was planned to be). BRICS (or the configuration of the SCO) were supposed to form an alternative “pole of world global power”, launching the track of confrontation between the superpowers (USA-China) as bloc structures of an economic and military nature.
When Putin lost the war with the West (namely, this “slap in the face of the world order” was the goal of the war, poorly disguised as “denazification” and “demilitarization”), it became clear that there would be no shift in the world political axis.
Then Beijing decided to organize a project of “expanding BRICS/SCO”, which should become a simultaneous alternative to the EU (economic cooperation) and NATO (military cooperation and collective security).
As we well remember, last year China actively spread rumors that a BRICS expansion project was being prepared, and it would include all Chinese partners in all corners of the planet (i.e. it was necessary to create a network of proxy forces united on the basis of an authoritarian management style, who will manage the global political and economic model by controlling key resource bases and human resources).
This system was supposed to resist the “technically” perfect West and work at “lightning speed”: at least, as sources reported, the topic of “inertia and slowness of the Western bureaucratic mechanism” was actively pedaled, while “the regime of personal power was described as a way to adopt quick , timely and tough decisions without taking into account social approval” (i.e., the system assumed authoritarian control through drastic decisions aimed at undermining the world system without focusing on the needs of the population, which had to be suppressed by combined mechanisms of a socially repressive nature).
But – and here our friends from various structures and departments did an excellent job – nothing came of it.
India has become our good partner, which has blocked both the BRICS (single currency) currency reform and expansion as a process. Further, contact with South Africa turned out to be fruitful: the result was the humiliation of Putin with an “arrest warrant” and further humiliation of Putin at the African summit, where the head of South Africa ironically called Putin a “hardworking person”, and then said that he did not need “gifts” from the Russian Federation, and waiting for the end of the war in Ukraine.
Brazil was completely pulled out of the global agenda, so at the moment BRICS is an organization that exists formally and does not claim any external influence.
Beijing understood everything quickly enough, so it moved from a cautious escalation to a slow de-escalation of relations with the United States, and this against the background of the fact that the Chinese economy is starting to leak, entering a long stage of “zero” (and then negative) growth.
Moreover, the Chinese generally wrote off the Russian Federation and now in foreign policy they appeal exclusively to themselves, actively hinting that Russia is a controlled vassal.
And Russia, as a regional African-Asian cesspool, has gone through desubjectivization from a political point of view.
In fact, Ukraine turned out to be a trap for the Russian Federation: now Russia will never return to the world stage in any form of a “global player”: it will be able to act solely as a zone of influence, smoothly flowing from one hand to another.
Further, a series of important confrontations will take place in the political arena:
1. Global Cold War between China and the US, which will begin to flow into a hot phase (probable form – the war over Taiwan), when China moves from a point of near-zero growth to a point of economic decline.
2. War for the East (a series of proxy conflicts over the redistribution of zones of influence in Asia between Beijing and Washington).
3. Proxy fight for Africa.
4. The war for the Arctic as the peak of the confrontation between China and the United States.
5. A series of local conflicts over Turkish expansion at the gates between West and East.
The result will be a return to unipolarity in the second half of the 21st century. Civilization has no other way.
We See What Others Cannot
