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The Cynic

Over the past few days, the special services of the Russian Federation have been measuring the attitude of the population towards possible mobilization through “drain cisterns”. And, as practice shows, the attitude towards it is equally negative both among the supporters of the war and among the opponents. Particularly interesting are the results of the “turbopatriots”, who spoke in favor of mobilization on the couch, but at the same time categorically against it if it affects them.

So far, all “trial balloons” have been failures. Not a single measurement showed a neutral-positive attitude towards mobilization, no matter how many “drain tanks” and audiences were used.

And this does not surprise us, since back in April we said that the Kremlin launched a media task to turn the war into a television parallel project that exists “in the background”, but not in the life of an ordinary Russian. Actually, then it was possible to put an end to mobilization: it cannot be carried out on the wave of turning the war into a “everyday report from the front” and even more so cannot be carried out a few months after the war itself has turned into a parallel reality with tremendous success in destroying 30 Hymars per day.

In addition, the Ministry of Defense is simply not ready for mobilization, since there is nothing to arm even a crowd driven with sticks. There is nowhere and nothing to train her, there is no time to “bring her into a combat state”, and the morale of a soldier driven with sticks does not at all fit the task of “clogging Ukraine with blood and iron.”

The realities of the war have changed, so an untrained crowd of 100,000 actually without weapons and without the skill of owning weapons does not pose a significant threat to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

But “trial balloons” as a project of the special services will continue to be launched in order to find a social base that can still be drawn into the draft board voluntarily.

The total crisis of the army led to the fact that Russia once again spat on Armenia and refused to fulfill its obligations under the CSTO agreement.

The outbreak between Azernaijan and Armenia: a constant since Azerbaijan (and Turkey, as the main curator) feels the weakness of Russia, therefore it strikes at a moment when the option of providing assistance is simply impossible.

Regarding mobilization: the secret services revealed in it, in fact, the only “lethal” way of “internal buildup of Russian society.” Thus, it is the news of mobilization that seriously increases the “protest background”, bringing it to a critical state. The special services through the controlled passage of “hawks” so excited the public that they had to get the press service of the puppet parties out from under the broom to explain that they meant not human, but economic mobilization.

In fact, the situation is as follows:
– Without mobilization, the Russian Federation cannot win the war.
– The announcement of mobilization puts Russia on the brink of civil war and a revolutionary state.
– Both without mobilization and with mobilization, the war will not be won, but without it it is possible to bring down the accents of military defeat without putting Russia in a revolutionary position.

About Post Author

Treadstone 71

@Treadstone71LLC Cyber intelligence, counterintelligence, Influence Operations, Cyber Operations, OSINT, Clandestine Cyber HUMINT, cyber intel and OSINT training and analysis, cyber psyops, strategic intelligence, Open-Source Intelligence collection, analytic writing, structured analytic techniques, Target Adversary Research, cyber counterintelligence, strategic intelligence analysis, estimative intelligence, forecasting intelligence, warning intelligence, threat intelligence
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By Treadstone 71

@Treadstone71LLC Cyber intelligence, counterintelligence, Influence Operations, Cyber Operations, OSINT, Clandestine Cyber HUMINT, cyber intel and OSINT training and analysis, cyber psyops, strategic intelligence, Open-Source Intelligence collection, analytic writing, structured analytic techniques, Target Adversary Research, cyber counterintelligence, strategic intelligence analysis, estimative intelligence, forecasting intelligence, warning intelligence, threat intelligence