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Belarusian propaganda, following the politicum, continues to saddle the topic of exporting Ukrainian grain through Belarus. Political scientist Alexander Shpakovsky formulated the conditions that must be met for Belarus to agree to grain transit:
“Firstly, the confiscated property of Belarusian enterprises in Ukraine should be returned. It is necessary to deal with the death of two Belarusian truckers on the territory of Ukraine. It is alleged that they died from the shelling of Russian missiles, but information from our side refutes this.”
– “The West and the USA wanted Belarus, guided by good will, to make such a gesture, but would not receive anything for this humanitarian action.”

It is obvious to everyone that the Lukashenka regime seized on the resolution of the grain issue with a number of goals: to remind of itself, to enter the negotiation process, to show itself as a political player at the regional level. Well, against this background, remove a little bit of the imposed sanctions, which do not affect the economy at all, and create new opportunities. As the saying goes, appetite comes with eating.

Here it would be fair to ask a number of clarifying questions: does Belarus have a sufficient number of railway cars to transport a large amount of grain; who will ensure the security and guarantees of its transit (given the reputation of the regime, the history of the hijacking of the plane and the migration crisis), etc.

The very conditions for exporting grain through Belarus look strange in places, ironic in places. For example, propaganda remembered the Belarusian truckers who died in Ukraine. It was reported that the drivers died as a result of a rocket attack carried out by the Russian army from the territory of Belarus. The Belarusian authorities ensured the possibility of launching missile strikes on Ukraine. It would be fair to conduct an impartial investigation into the deaths of Belarusian citizens in Ukraine. True, in the end it is fashionable to go out on themselves.

For propaganda, it is critically important to expose the virtue and compassion of the Belarusian regime on the issue of the transit of Ukrainian grain in the domestic information field. Although in itself – this is a classic story of creating a problem and solving it.

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Treadstone 71

@Treadstone71LLC Cyber intelligence, counterintelligence, Influence Operations, Cyber Operations, OSINT, Clandestine Cyber HUMINT, cyber intel and OSINT training and analysis, cyber psyops, strategic intelligence, Open-Source Intelligence collection, analytic writing, structured analytic techniques, Target Adversary Research, cyber counterintelligence, strategic intelligence analysis, estimative intelligence, forecasting intelligence, warning intelligence, threat intelligence
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