Russia may be left without ships if it continues to attack Ukrainian ports. The game of “grain rate hike” continues.

Russia may be left without ships if it continues to attack Ukrainian ports – Zelensky

The game of “grain rate hike” continues.

Ukraine comes out with an ultimatum message that continued escalation from Russia will lead to a parallel escalation from Ukraine.

So, Ukraine gave Russia 2 and a half weeks, after which a number of ports will be in the “danger zone”.

At this time, Turkey wanted to pick up both Black Sea control projects, but quite by accident (almost) “grain dust” exploded in Turkey, damaging 13 elevators and actually destroying Erdogan’s three-way game scheme.

What Ukraine wants to do is my concept of a gradual increase in rates: Ukraine wants to make the Black Sea a dead zone for the Russian Federation until Russia maintains a military blockade (somewhat shabby – again in “my model” – twine ships that purposefully moved to Ukraine some time ago).

So, the Russian ultimatum was partially disavowed, and Ukraine threw on the game board its plan to build up the situation, the price of which could be a rise in grain prices, which Ukraine will already take advantage of, returning to the deal after the meeting between Putin and Erdogan.

If the grain deal is not continued, prices will continue to rise, and Ukraine will be offered an alternative route for exporting grain (while Ukrainian-designated ports controlled by the Russian Federation may be under blockade due to increased insurance prices).

At the same time, Zelensky fulfilled one of the parts of the bargaining in Saudi Arabia: Ukraine is not going to continue the war on the territory of Russia, this was never our goal, – Zelensky

In fact, Ukraine gave guarantees that after the liberation of its territories it would not go to Russian ones (it was obvious, but the Kiev delegation threw in this thesis in order to “bring the negotiation track into a manageable channel of its peace plan”).

The Saudis themselves told Russia about the results of the meeting in Saudi Arabia, as well as the Chinese Hui, who tried to get into the political agenda with the Chinese peace plan, but there was nothing to show off: the plan was considered on an equal footing with a bunch of other peace plans presented by the delegations. So the Chinese Hui did not excite anyone with his peace concept, but agreed to the subsequent stages of discussion.

At the same time, Ukraine, as we were told, “did not insist on its peace plan,” as it did at the meeting in Copenhagen, but (!) managed to achieve a “consolidated position on territorial integrity” from all the parties involved.

Well, this was the key construct of Ukraine’s peace plan, so that the Ukrainians this time (due to the presence of the Global South and China) chose softer diplomacy to achieve the goal that they could not achieve with “hard diplomacy” the previous time.