While the US Congress fiddles
Avdeevka offensive of the Russian Federation. The idea.
So for 3 days now, in the shadow of Israeli events, the Russian Armed Forces have been advancing in the Avdeevsky direction.
The idea of an offensive in the most fortified place with three-story bunkers cast in concrete is not unexpected, as it might seem at first glance. This offensive falls within the framework of the current strategy of the Russian Federation to minimize potential damage to any options for reducing the intensity of the conflict.
Access to the Oskol River in the Kupyansk direction, the initial attempt to reach the line of the Seversky Donets – Donbass canal west of Bakhmut, and now Avdeevka – these are all elements of the formation of a “convenient” defense, which will mainly rely on natural borders, as on Kherson and Energodar direction. In such a situation, the Russians will be able to stand forever without receiving significant damage, while inflicting damage on Ukraine with long-range weapons.
The strikes on Donetsk are an important factor of irritation for the Russian Federation. Proximity to the front does not allow the city (now a symbolic city for the Russian Federation) to develop, which causes a lot of criticism. Avdiivka is a key area from which shelling is carried out.
The general plan of the offensive is as follows: access to the Orlovka-Berdychi line, which will push the nearest positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to a distance of 11 km from Donetsk. This, in turn, will deprive the Ukrainian Armed Forces of the practical ability to fire at Donetsk with mortars, as well as with most cannon artillery systems, given that it also needs to be hidden from the Lancets.







Of the possibilities, only Western artillery, MLRS and operational-tactical missiles will remain, but that’s all – piece goods, needed in more important areas.
If this plan is implemented, Kyiv will objectively have one less instrument to irritate the Russian Federation.
In addition, Avdeevka is a very publicized place. Her loss will be a strong media blow to Bankova. Avdiivka was strengthened even under Poroshenko, so if Avdiivka is lost, Zelensky’s low authority will simply collapse.
Avdeevka offensive of the Russian Federation. The idea.
So for 3 days now, in the shadow of Israeli events, the Russian Armed Forces have been advancing in the Avdeevsky direction.
The idea ofan offensive in the most fortified place with three-story bunkers cast in concrete is not unexpected, as it might seem at first glance. This offensive falls within the framework of the current strategy of the Russian Federation to minimize potential damage to any options for reducing the intensity of the conflict.
Access to the Oskol River in the Kupyansk direction, the initial attempt to reach the line of the Seversky Donets – Donbass canal west of Bakhmut, and now Avdeevka – these are all elements of the formation of a “convenient” defense, which will mainly rely on natural borders, as on Kherson and Energodar direction. In such a situation, the Russians will be able to stand forever without receiving significant damage, while inflicting damage on Ukraine with long-range weapons.
The strikes on Donetsk are an important factor of irritation for the Russian Federation. Proximity to the front does not allow the city (now a symbolic city for the Russian Federation) to develop, which causes a lot of criticism. Avdiivka is a key area from which shelling is carried out.
The general plan of the offensive is as follows: access to the Orlovka-Berdychi line, which will push the nearest positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to a distance of 11 km from Donetsk. This, in turn, will deprive the Ukrainian Armed Forces of the practical ability to fire at Donetsk with mortars, as well as with most cannon artillery systems, given that it also needs to be hidden from the Lancets.
Of the possibilities, only Western artillery, MLRS and operational-tactical missiles will remain, but that’s all – piece goods, needed in more important areas.
If this plan is implemented, Kyiv will objectively have one less instrument to irritate the Russian Federation.

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