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From the first days of Ukraine’s activation in the Kherson direction, the Kremlin put forth a training manual about “instant failure.” The manual was immediately spread by both Kremlin agents and alarmists. They realized that the lack of response by the Armed Forces of Ukraine meant that “everything did not go according to plan.

The Nazis and channels sympathizing with them began to accuse Zelensky of starting a “Hollywood offensive”, which would cost “tens of thousands of lives.”

Also, the Rashists invented a completely fantastic story that Kyiv, together with Mi-6, was developing a plan to capture the ZNPP by the time the IAEA was supposed to get to it.

Not only did no one know about the plan to capture the Zaporizhzhya NPP in Kyiv, but also the Mi-6 did not develop plans for special operations.

And now – after a few days – we can say that the Russians again screwed up grandiosely. We were right.

After the final defeat of the offensive force on the first day of the offensive as defined by the fake manual, Ukraine managed to gain “full tactical and operational advantage” along a three-prongef axis of advance.

Russia, transferred part of their troops from the Donetsk area, creating conditions in the occupied territories excessively costly in terms of manpower and equipment.

Moscow will have to retreat along a number of lines of attack in the “Donetsk direction.”

At the moment, the possibility of a Russian offensive is futile on all fronts, and the possibility of defense is “limited.”

The plan to execute long range battles with medium intensity allows Ukraine not to feel a crisis in ammunition, equipment, and personnel. Russian faces being surrounding, cut off from large supply arteries, and is experiencing a lack of new recruits.

Under such conditions, the Ukraine is trying to force the Kremlin to make a dead moth gesture without provoking “frontal attacks”. And given the logistical catastrophe, the signs of which are becoming apparent in the Russian group, the Kremlin has 2 ways out of this situation:
– “going through the throes” without the gesture of a dead moth: Ukraine will be able to maintain the intensity of the fighting for a very long time, as a result of which the “Mariupol cauldron” will be repeated with the Russians, with the only difference being that Ukraine had somewhere to retreat, but Russia did not. Long-range battles can continue until the end of the year, as a result of which the remaining fronts of the Russian Federation will fall in parallel, from which the Kremlin will have to transfer forces in order to “keep Kherson with its teeth.”
– “gesture of a dead moth”: a complete exit from Kherson and the recognition that “Kherson was never the target of the war.”

About Post Author

Treadstone 71

@Treadstone71LLC Cyber intelligence, counterintelligence, Influence Operations, Cyber Operations, OSINT, Clandestine Cyber HUMINT, cyber intel and OSINT training and analysis, cyber psyops, strategic intelligence, Open-Source Intelligence collection, analytic writing, structured analytic techniques, Target Adversary Research, cyber counterintelligence, strategic intelligence analysis, estimative intelligence, forecasting intelligence, warning intelligence, threat intelligence
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By Treadstone 71

@Treadstone71LLC Cyber intelligence, counterintelligence, Influence Operations, Cyber Operations, OSINT, Clandestine Cyber HUMINT, cyber intel and OSINT training and analysis, cyber psyops, strategic intelligence, Open-Source Intelligence collection, analytic writing, structured analytic techniques, Target Adversary Research, cyber counterintelligence, strategic intelligence analysis, estimative intelligence, forecasting intelligence, warning intelligence, threat intelligence