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The Cynic

Koshchei’s death at the end…

The last days on the front shows relative stability. Severodonetsk has not yet been taken, although the intelligence forecast 3 weeks ago reported that it would probably fall within a few days.

As we can clearly see, even rather “optimistic” in their strategic assessment of intelligence, demonstrating the possible tactical retreats of Ukraine and tactical victories of Russia, miss the deadlines dozens of times – and always in favor of Ukraine.

The director of Mi-6 recently confirmed our findings that Russia has no chance of winning.

Moreover, signs of internal strife are becoming apparent. In recent days, such a colossal amount of Russian personal information from various ministries and departments has been merged into the “darknet” that signs of “repartition of the system” and “internal seething” are easily identifiable.

The seemingly monolithic security clan also begins to merge “colleagues” – the FSB against the GRU is waging a rather interesting war for the redistribution of power.

At the same time, the main money purses and representatives of law enforcement agencies are busy discussing the “post-Putin era.” And increasingly, these “behind the scenes” are beginning to seep into the media.

The era, in fact, is unlikely to get better in the event of a “forceful redistribution”, but at this stage it is too early to divide the corpse of the fascist regime.

We only care about the trend – the elites are preparing for life without Putin: and this is becoming more and more evident in the highest circles of power every day.

This does not mean that the transit will take place in the next week, month … This only demonstrates signals that the system is aware of the imminent end of the existing order. And this system does not want to sink along with Putin: it is such a faithful “support of the president” – it is engaged in building various scenarios for the future so that the “plan” for the redistribution of the Kremlin begins to be implemented at lightning speed after the fall of the “dwarf empire”.

After all, they do not want to lose their power, so they are looking for an option to use the future corpse of the dictator as a springboard for securing the future throne.

And this means exactly one thing: Putin has ceased to function as a “mediator” between the elites – he has ceased to guarantee the economic security of the oligarchs and the military-strategic security of the security forces. And now the inhabitants of the Kremlin will look at their “boss” as a lame duck – they no longer need it.

When the environment begins to look through you, it means that they no longer need you. There will be no one to save Putin’s face – only Macron can send a “present” in the form of a Botox truck.

The game turns into a rather painful and bloody endgame.

The economic clan does not believe in Russia’s victory in the war. He is waiting for the “storm to pass” in order to return to the game again without losing assets. And the “guarantor” has become a risk to the safety of the state – you can either fall under sanctions or under the “wrath of the Kremlin” – in any case, you are left with … without salt.

And in such a situation, it is more pleasant for the oligarchs to communicate with Western “sharks” – they play by the rules. The elites do not need Putin. He doesn’t need anyone anymore.

Everyone is waiting for the end of the war. But there is no peace on the horizon. Only outlines are felt – Putin will ride his Horse from the hippodrome with the remains of oats in his teeth, and Lavrusha will squeal loudly and heart-rendingly, reconciling the glory of Ribbentrop to himself.

Ukraine will win and, according to the Johnson project, will enter world politics as one of the central powers of the 21st century. The structure of the world after the war will change – it will be formed – officially or behind the scenes – it does not matter – an alliance of Great Britain (at the head), Poland and Ukraine (anti-Kremlin “hawks”), the Baltic countries, Turkey and, possibly, Sweden and Finland.

The “powerful ones” are shifting from Central Europe to Eastern Europe. Political activity and the ability to make abrupt and unpredictable decisions are highly valued in London and Washington.

Putin wanted a “new world”. He will get it. And it will be a wonderful world in which Russia will take its usual place – a gas station on the edge of civilization – a poor, ragged, empty, ruined, backward land – a raw material appendage of China and the West.

About Post Author

Treadstone 71

@Treadstone71LLC Cyber intelligence, counterintelligence, Influence Operations, Cyber Operations, OSINT, Clandestine Cyber HUMINT, cyber intel and OSINT training and analysis, cyber psyops, strategic intelligence, Open-Source Intelligence collection, analytic writing, structured analytic techniques, Target Adversary Research, cyber counterintelligence, strategic intelligence analysis, estimative intelligence, forecasting intelligence, warning intelligence, threat intelligence
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